Buffett Drove Hard Bargain With
Goldman
By SUSAN PULLIAM, KATE KELLY and MATTHEW KARNITSCHNIG
For six months, as the credit crisis
deepened, billionaire investor Warren Buffett turned away a string of Wall
Street firms that came hat in hand looking for help.
On Tuesday, Mr. Buffett says, he was sitting
with his feet on his desk in Omaha, drinking a Cherry Coke and munching on
mixed nuts, when he got an unusually candid call from a Goldman Sachs
Group Inc. investment banker. Tell us what kind of investment you'd
consider making in Goldman, the banker urged him, and the firm would try to
hammer out a deal.
![[Buffett, Warren]](WSJ_Buffett_Drove_Hard_Bargain_With_Goldman_092408_files/image001.gif)
Warren Buffett
That midday call from Goldman's Byron Trott,
who had done deals with Mr. Buffett for years, touched off a rapid chain of
events. Within hours, Goldman had announced that Mr. Buffett's Berkshire
Hathaway Inc. would invest $5 billion in Goldman -- a move viewed by many
investors as a vote of confidence in the nation's reeling financial system.
The swiftness of the deal underscores the
intense pressure now faced by Goldman, long regarded as one of the most
financially secure firms on Wall Street. Over a 10-day stretch this month --
amid federal bailouts of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and American International
Group and a bankruptcy filing by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. -- Goldman
shares dropped 36%. Investors began asking questions about whether it had the
capital to survive. On Sunday night, Goldman secured federal approval to become
a bank holding company, ending 139 years as a securities firm.
On Wednesday, Goldman said it had completed a
separate $5 billion stock offering, double the size of the offering announced
on Tuesday. Its shares jumped $7.95 to $133 in 4 p.m. New York Stock Exchange
trading, although they remain far below their 52-week high of more than $250.
The deal with Mr. Buffett and the stock offering means Goldman shareholders
could eventually have their stake diluted by as much as 20%.
Mr. Buffett's decision to invest now in
Goldman gives an indication of how the famed investor believes the financial
crisis might shake out. At a minimum, he regards Goldman as a survivor,
although the firm's profits could be pinched as it adjusts to life as a banking
holding company, taking fewer risks and facing heightened regulation.
In a telephone interview Wednesday morning
from his office in Omaha, Mr. Buffett said he believes the proposed federal
bailout will be approved by Congress and that it will succeed. "The
government has a great opportunity," he says. "If they buy things at
market prices with the government's cheap funding, they should make a lot of
money."
If Congress fails to approve the bailout, Mr.
Buffett says, all bets are off. His investment in Goldman will "get
killed, and so will all our other investments."
Goldman's moves in recent days mark a
repudiation of the strategy that catapulted the firm to enormous success. At
one time, Goldman was a white-shoe investment bank that made its mark advising
corporate clients on deals. In recent years, it became a hard-charging trading
firm, more akin to a hedge fund than a bank. Run by Lloyd Blankfein, a former gold
salesman, Goldman borrowed enormous sums to fund big trades. Profits soared,
and the rest of Wall Street -- from Merrill Lynch & Co. to Lehman to Morgan
Stanley -- followed suit.
![[Blankfein, Lloyd]](WSJ_Buffett_Drove_Hard_Bargain_With_Goldman_092408_files/image002.gif)
Lloyd Blankfein
Neither Mr. Blankfein nor Mr. Trott, the
Goldman banker who reached out to Mr. Buffett, responded to requests for
comment.
This year, as the credit crunch tightened its
grip, investment banks began to suffer. At first, Goldman reveled in its
position as one of the strong players. Unlike many competitors, it hasn't
posted a quarterly loss during the crisis.
But Goldman appeared to miscalculate how
serious and how long the crisis would be. "We're probably in the third or
fourth quarter," Mr. Blankfein said in April. "We're closer to the
end than we are to the beginning." In June, Goldman's chief financial officer
echoed those views. Even last week, as Goldman reported its worst quarter since
becoming a public company in 1999, executives dismissed the notion that Goldman
couldn't survive the storm without radical action.
'Should I Go On?'
Out in Omaha, Mr. Buffett had been fielding
calls for months from Wall Street firms and other investors who wanted him to
take part in rescue efforts. The first major pitch came on Saturday, March 15.
Bear Stearns was reeling after clients had removed billions of dollars from the
securities firm. Federal regulators were pushing for a white knight to buy Bear
Stearns before the Asian markets opened late the following day.
Mr. Buffett received a call at 4:30 p.m. that
Saturday from a private investment firm trying to assemble a group to buy the
embattled financial giant. "I'm calling about Bear Stearns,'" the
private investor began, according to Mr. Buffett. "Should I go on?'"
Mr. Buffett recalls thinking: "It's like
a woman taking off half her clothes and asking, 'Should I continue?' Even if
you're a 90-year-old eunuch, you let 'em finish." Mr. Buffett says he
passed on the proposed deal. Bear Stearns was bought by J.P. Morgan Chase &
Co. the following day.
A few weeks later, in April, Lehman
executives made a pitch to Mr. Buffett to participate in a round of financing.
Mr. Buffett says he felt the Lehman offer was unrealistic and he decided not to
participate.
Lehman went on to raise billions of dollars
more from other investors at terms similar to those it offered Mr. Buffett. But
the pressure continued to build. Talks with a Korean bank failed to
materialize. The government brought two ailing mortgage giants, Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, into federal conservatorship. The financial markets were rickety.
![[Berkshire Hathaway goldman chart]](WSJ_Buffett_Drove_Hard_Bargain_With_Goldman_092408_files/image003.gif)
By Saturday, Sept. 13, Lehman was collapsing
and insurance giant American International Group Inc. was on the ropes. Mr.
Buffett was in Edmonton, Canada, at a charity dinner when he started getting
calls about AIG. Fielding calls throughout the weekend, Mr. Buffett considered
a $5 billion insurance transaction, part of a larger effort to save the insurer
that involved other investors. That transaction fell apart, and the Federal
Reserve assembled an $85 billion bailout package for AIG three days later.
This past weekend, Goldman's top leadership
-- Mr. Blankfein, co-presidents Gary Cohn and Jon Winkelried, and chief
financial officer David Viniar, among others -- discussed ways to raise
capital. The executives figured with the market's current emphasis on safety
and soundness, the firm might need more capital, according to people familiar
with the matter.
The executives soon zeroed in on Mr. Buffett
as an ideal option. His holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, had often used
Goldman as an investment banker on deals. His reputation, both for smart
investing and solid ethics, would likely give investors the reassurance they
needed, the executives reasoned.
Mr. Trott had approached Mr. Buffett before
with at least one offer to invest in Goldman. "They had sounded me out in
the past, as everyone else had," Mr. Buffett says. The previous offer, he
says, was "nothing I would say 'yes' to."
“The swiftness of the deal underscores the
intense pressure now faced by Goldman, long regarded as one of the most
financially secure firms on Wall Street.”
On Tuesday, however, Goldman put the ball
squarely in Mr. Buffett's court. Mr. Buffett is famous for making quick
investment decisions based on his gut. For the Goldman deal, he says, "I
didn't see a book. I just made a judgment." The quality of Goldman's
management team and its franchise, he says, sealed the deal for him.
He didn't insist on a complicated term sheet,
he says. Instead, he spent 15 minutes with Mr. Viniar, Goldman's chief financial
officer, outlining points of the deal. "They asked me about this or
that," he says. "It sounded fair."
By the time markets closed in New York at 4
p.m., Mr. Trott was sealing the deal with a final call to Mr. Buffett. Mr.
Blankfein was in Washington for the day to brief members of Congress about the
state of the markets. After the deal was struck, he called Mr. Buffett.
"We talked for five minutes," recalls Mr. Buffett, who says he told
Mr. Blankfein to "keep working."
Mr. Buffett left his office at 7 p.m. and
spent the evening reading the newspapers and "nibbling" on Cheetos
and licorice pastel candies. He says Mr. Trott "called me once or twice to
tell me what was going on with the equity offering." Mr. Buffett was
asleep by 10:30 p.m.
Goldman executives were working the phones in
hopes of raising more capital. Armed with a list of about two dozen of the
firm's top investors, executives canvassed shareholders to see if they'd be
willing to add to their Goldman holdings. It was an all-night affair.
Mr. Winkelried fine-tuned the details of the
Buffett investment, and David Solomon, the firm's co-head of investment
banking, coordinated the stock offering. By 8 a.m. on Wednesday, the group had
gathered on the 50th floor of a Goldman building in downtown Manhattan to
figure out who would get shares and at what price. They finished in time to
announce a $5 billion offering, shortly before 9:30 a.m.
Sweet Deal
For his $5 billion, Mr. Buffett receives
"perpetual" preferred shares that aren't convertible into equity, but
pay a 10% dividend. That payout equates to roughly $1.3 million each day. He
also has warrants to buy Goldman shares at $115, which, if he exercised
Wednesday would theoretically net him a profit of more than $600 million. If
Goldman's earnings grow at a modest pace, he could make a tidy profit, some
investors say.
Some investors are griping about what they
say is a sweet deal for Mr. Buffett. But some Goldman shareholders say
Wednesday's stock offering was too good to pass up. "The valuation was right,
the business expertise, we feel, is unparalleled, and the money coming in from
Warren Buffett at this time was a catalyst to add to our position," says
Tom Marsico, CEO of Denver-based Marsico Capital Management LLC, one of
Goldman's largest investors.
Mr. Buffett's investment isn't without risk.
As a commercial bank, Goldman will be forced to curb much of the risk taking
that generated big profits. Hedge funds and private-equity firms are likely to
try to lure away Goldman's stars with fatter pay.
The question now: Will Mr. Buffett -- whose
firm has invested a total of about $24 billion in a number of ventures in
recent months -- plunk down more money on Wall Street?
He says he remains interested in some of
AIG's businesses "if they are available." He adds: "I still have
some money left."